Thin rally check
suggestive · 2013+ study
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Market breadth · last 5 years
How many S&P 500 stocks are above their 50-day and 200-day averages
today –
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Risk gauges
What the 2013+ study found worth watching. Two gauges are about how rough the next months may get, not which way the market goes; the small-cap thrust is a small tilt in IWM’s favour. Each is suggestive: it pointed the same way in every period checked but rests on few separate episodes.
Small-cap thrust tracker
suggestive · 2013+ study
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Trend and storms
suggestive · 2013+ study
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Trend breadth · how many stocks are climbing?
The same chart as on the TET Radar tab: S&P 500 stocks that pass the TET trend check.
The five zones · how often each happens
Times like now · few stocks climbing while SPY sat near its high
VIX ÷ VIX3M · last 5 years
Near-term fear (the 1-month VIX) against 3-month fear (VIX3M). Below 1 = calm. Above 1 = panic.
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What came next, in the study
In one lineA high ratio has been a signal for when to lean in after fear, not for when to get out.
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The study
Breadth across 3 indices · last 5 years
The same 50-day and 200-day lines on each index’s own members.
Right now
How to read it
S&P 500 breadth at 4 speeds · last 5 years
% of S&P 500 stocks above their 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day averages
Right now
How to read it
After past washouts
Every daily washout since 2013 and what SPY did next
KDJ washout meter · last 5 years
How many of each index’s stocks are maxed-out oversold on the weekly KDJ. The same count the KDJ bot sends each morning, with its ARMED and STRONG levels.
Every armed spell since 2013 · S&P 500 · weekly
What the bot’s tiers have meant
In one lineA lot of stocks washed out at once has marked dips worth scaling into, not exact bottoms: near the highs, 4 in 10 arms saw another 5%+ drop first.
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The study
Nasdaq new lows · Daily · last 2 years
How many Nasdaq listings (stocks, ETFs and funds) hit a new 52-week low that day.
Loading the new-lows count…
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Breadth · KDJ
SPY price · 50-day breadth · KDJ of the 50-day breadth, per candle size
Pinch to zoom · drag sideways to move · hold to read a day · double-tap for full screen · pick a range for all four blocks, or zoom each block on its own
Daily
Weekly
2-week
Monthly
KDJ of the breadth line describes its swing.
SPY & QQQ · KDJ on 4 candle sizes
The KDJ of the price itself, on daily, weekly, 2-week and monthly candles. Each open candle is drawn as if it closed at the last close.
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